Subject: The Evening: OPEC Pact, Counter BDS Bill, American Pie and More
From: "Andrew Schwartz" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 5 Feb 2019 22:18:34 +0000
List-Id: 833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaacmc list <833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac.212205.list-id.mcsv.net>

The Evening: OPEC Pact, Counter BDS Bill, American Pie and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Tuesday, February 5th.

** Russia's New Missile System Plans
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Russia will race to develop two new land-based missile launch systems before 2021 to respond to Washington’s planned exit from a landmark nuclear arms control pact, it said on Tuesday, as Reuters’ Andrew Osborn reports (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-nuclear-russia/russia-plans-new-missile-systems-to-counter-u-s-by-2021-idUSKCN1PU0TG?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “The Ailing INF Treaty: What to Know (https://www.cfr.org/article/ailing-inf-treaty-what-know?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789) ,” by CFR’s Jonathan Masters.

** Counter BDS Bill Passes Senate
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The Republican-controlled Senate on Tuesday passed legislation that would allow state and local governments to bar contractors from advocating for sanctions and a boycott of Israel, as the
WSJ’s Natalie Andrews reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/bill-to-counter-israel-boycott-movement-passes-senate-11549402182?mod=hp_listb_pos1&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Here’s Why U.S. Aid to Palestinians Needs to Continue (https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/heres-why-u.s.-aid-to-palestinians-needs-to-continue?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789) ,” by the Washington Institute’s Dana Stroul and Daniel Shapiro.

** OPEC Pact with Russia
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Saudi Arabia and its Persian Gulf allies are backing a formal partnership with a 10-nation group led by Russia to try to manage the global oil market, according to OPEC officials, in an alliance that would transform the cartel, as the
WSJ’s Benoit Faucon and Summer Said report (https://www.wsj.com/articles/opec-pursues-formal-pact-with-russia-11549394604?mod=hp_lead_pos3&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “What to Watch in Oil Markets in 2019 (https://www.csis.org/analysis/what-watch-oil-markets-2019?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Andrew Stanley.

** Taliban Talks
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Members of the Taliban and key Afghan power brokers, including former president Hamid Karzai, discussed their vision for the future of Afghanistan on Tuesday, meeting in Moscow for talks aimed at ending the war, as the Washington Post’s Amie Ferris-Rotman reports (https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/taliban-talks-shift-to-moscow-with-possible-us-brokered-deal-on-table/2019/02/05/85f4b544-2945-11e9-906e-9d55b6451eb4_story.html?utm_term=.2921188883f8&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Afghanistan as Vietnam Redux: Bomb, Declare Peace, and Leave? (https://www.csis.org/analysis/afghanistan-vietnam-redux-bomb-declare-peace-and-leave?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789) ” by CSIS’s Anthony Cordesman.

** Your Questions
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Do you have any questions about trade and how a changing U.S. trade policy may affect your life? If you do, please email me your question(s) to [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]?subject=Your%20Questions) . We’ll publish some of the best questions and get our experts to answer them on an upcoming CSIS podcast.

** By The Numbers
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Sign up to receive CSIS’s new Sunday morning newsletter
By The Numbers. Each week, we’ll share with you some of the most compelling numbers, statistics, and data in our studies. Subscribe here. (https://www.tfaforms.com/4692786?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789)

** In That Number
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** $5.9 Trillion
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Between 2001 and 2019, the United States will have spent a total of $5.9 trillion dollars with its military budget. By 2023, it is estimated that the cost of America's wars could total $6.7 trillion.

Source: CSIS (https://www.csis.org/analysis/americas-military-spending-and-uncertain-costs-its-wars-need-transparent-reporting?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789)

** Critical Quote
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** “We should create a ground-based missile complex with a long-range hypersonic missile.”
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— Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu

** iDeas Lab
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https://www.csis.org/analysis/elections-crisis-and-what-expect-year-ahead?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789
2019 will be another pivotal year across the Western Hemisphere. The deterioration of Venezuela and Nicaragua, U.S.-Mexico bilateral relations, the fight for transparency in the Northern triangle, and seven key national elections will affect the trajectory of the Americas.

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.

** Optics
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CSIS (Photo Credit: Mark Wilson/Getty Images). White House Press Secretary Sarah Sanders speaks to the media this morning ahead of President Trump’s second State Of The Union address.

** Recommended Reading
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“The Globalization Chameleon (https://www.csis.org/analysis/globalization-chameleon?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Bill Reinsch.

** This Town Tomorrow
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At 1:00 p.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/mitigating-security-risks-emerging-5g-networks?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789) , FCC Commissioner Jessica Rosenworcel will join a panel of experts at the CSIS in a discussion of developing 5g networks. The panel will focus on the opportunities as well as the security challenges posed in implementing 5g networks.

Then, at 2:00 p.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/russias-policy-afghanistan?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789) , stick around at the CSIS for an analysis of Russia’s policy in Afghanistan. CSIS fellows and other experts will discuss Russia’s objectives in the region, and what change this represents to Russia’s foreign policy.

Additionally, at 10:00 a.m. (http://www.aei.org/events/a-conversation-with-sen-ted-cruz-r-tx-on-the-senates-role-in-foreign-policy/?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789) , AEI will host a discussion with Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) on the Senate’s role in foreign policy. The conversation will cover the constitutional, prudential, and political considerations in American foreign policy.

** Video
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Today, the CSIS hosted Mark Lowcock, the UN Under-Secretary-General for Humanitarian Affairs and Emergency Relief Coordinator to discuss the need for a strong international humanitarian aid system. Watch the full event here (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aMosTRf9Qf4&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789) .

** Podcasts
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Die Welt
Trade experts Scott Miller and Bill Reinsch break down the buzz around trade, how it affects policy, and how it impacts your day-to-day. In this new episode, the State of the Union is front and center. Will the president deliver a bipartisan message? What will he say about the U.S.-China trade war?

Listen on Spotify (https://open.spotify.com/episode/59O8pUACWgxhB4WeMaRcbO?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789) , SoundCloud (https://www.csis.org/podcasts/trade-guys/state-trading-union?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789) , or Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-trade-guys/id1380336613?mt=2&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789) .

** Smiles
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60 years ago this week, February 3, 1959, Buddy Holly, The Big Bopper and Richie Valens died as their plane crashed in the fields of Clear Lake, Iowa. That day became known as “the day the music died” after Singer-songwriter Don McLean penned his 1971 opus “American Pie (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RciM7P9K3FA&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789) ” as a way of exercising grief over the loss of the rock pioneers.

It’s an unforgettable song about a sad day that somehow has made us all smile every time we hear it.
I invite you to email me at [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=ead86185b6-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_05_04_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-ead86185b6-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Emma Colbran, Caleb Diamond, and Brad Honigberg.

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