Subject: The Evening: Putin, NK, Werewolves in London and More
From: "Andrew Schwartz" <[email-masked]>
To: <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 21 Feb 2019 23:05:00 +0000
List-Id: 833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaacmc list <833ec271d60c6750d9c3baaac.212205.list-id.mcsv.net>

The Evening: Putin, NK, Werewolves in London and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Thursday, February 21st.

** Putin: Ready For Another Cuban Missile Crisis
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President Vladimir Putin has said that Russia is militarily ready for a Cuban Missile-style crisis if the United States wanted one, and that his country currently has the edge when it comes to a first nuclear strike, as Reuters’ Andrew Osborn reports (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-russia-putin/putin-to-u-s-im-ready-for-another-cuban-missile-crisis-if-you-want-one-idUSKCN1QA1A3?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789) .

And as the NYT’s Neil MacFarquhar reports (https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/20/world/europe/russia-missile-threat.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789) , Putin said Washington was fueling a new arms race by withdrawing from a landmark nuclear weapons treaty and possibly deploying new missiles in Europe.

** U.S.—NK Negotiations
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The United States and North Korea will seek a common understanding of what denuclearization means when President Trump presses Kim Jong Un next week to give up all of the North’s nuclear weapons, U.S. officials said on Thursday, as Reuters’ Jeff Mason and Steve Holland report (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-usa/u-s-north-korea-to-seek-understanding-on-denuclearization-at-summit-idUSKCN1QA25O?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Fifth Anniversary of the Landmark Report of the UN Commission of Inquiry on North Korean Human Rights (https://www.csis.org/analysis/fifth-anniversary-landmark-report-un-commission-inquiry-north-korean-human-rights?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Robert King.

“Will Trump And Kim Be Bound Together By Strength or Weakness? (https://www.cfr.org/blog/will-trump-and-kim-be-bound-together-strength-or-weakness?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789) ” by CFR’s Scott Snyder.

** Iranian Cyberattack on Australian Parliament
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Hackers based in Iran and implicated in attacks on the U.S. and Western allies were behind a computer breach of Australia’s Parliament and political parties, as the
WSJ’s Rob Taylor reports (https://www.wsj.com/articles/iran-blamed-for-cyberattack-on-australias-parliament-11550736796?mod=hp_major_pos2&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Punishing Iran Is Not a Strategy (https://www.csis.org/analysis/middle-east-notes-and-comment-punishing-iran-not-strategy?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789#Main_Article) ,” by CSIS’s Jon Alterman.

“What Washington—and Iran—Should Take Away from the Warsaw Conference (https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/what-washingtonand-iranshould-take-away-from-the-warsaw-conference?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789) ,” by the Washington Institute’s Dennis Ross.

** Venezuela Closing Borders
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Venezuela’s government said on Wednesday that it was closing its border to air and sea traffic from three Caribbean islands in an effort to block aid shipments to the country organized by the Venezuelan opposition, as the NYT’s Nicholas Casey reports (https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/20/world/americas/venezuela-borders-aid.html?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789) .

Dive Deeper: “Critical Questions: Humanitarian Aid Ready to Enter Venezuela on February 23 (https://www.csis.org/analysis/humanitarian-aid-ready-enter-venezuela-february-23?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789) ” by CSIS’s Moises Rendon.

** Your Questions
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Do you have any questions about trade and how a changing U.S. trade policy may affect your life? If you do, please email me your question(s) to [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]?subject=Your%20Questions) . We’ll publish some of the best questions and get our experts to answer them on an upcoming CSIS podcast.

** By The Numbers
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Sign up to receive CSIS’s new Sunday morning newsletter
By The Numbers. Each week, we’ll share with you some of the most compelling numbers, statistics, and data in our studies. Subscribe here. (https://www.tfaforms.com/4692786?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789)

** In That Number
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** $30 billion
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China is proposing that it could buy an additional $30 billion a year of U.S. agricultural products including soybeans, corn and wheat as part of a possible trade deal.

Source: Bloomberg (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-02-21/china-said-to-propose-30-billion-more-u-s-agriculture-imports?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789)

** Critical Quote
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** “Russia will be forced to create and deploy new types of weapons that could be used not only against the territories where a direct threat to us comes from, but also against the territories where decision-making centers directing the use of missile systems threatening us are located.”
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— Vladimir Putin

** iDeas Lab
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CSIS
Check out CSIS's latest video, "What's Happening In North Korea (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UVmyGZ-BgrU&feature=youtu.be&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789) ." CSIS's Ahead of the second Trump-Kim summit, scheduled for later this month, Victor Cha explains what is at stake and the risks involved for the U.S.

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.

** Optics
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CSIS
(Photo credit: Mandel Ngan/AFP/Getty Images). (L-R 2nd from bottom) National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow, US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, and US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, unidentified interpreter and Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross take part in US-China trade talks with China's Vice Premier Liu He (LC) today at the Eisenhower Executive Office Building.

** Recommended Reading
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“China’s Nuclear Power Sector: What It Is and What It Is Not (Yet) (https://www.csis.org/analysis/chinas-nuclear-power-sector-what-it-and-what-it-not-yet?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789) ,” by CSIS’s Jane Nakano.

** This Town Tomorrow
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At 10:00 a.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/prospects-trump-kim-vietnam-summit?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789) , CSIS will host a conversation on the Trump-Kim summit in Vietnam. Panelists will analyze the possibilities for denuclearization, and discuss regional implications of summit diplomacy for Northeast Asia.

Additionally, at 1:30 p.m. (https://www.csis.org/events/russia-abroad?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789) , CSIS will host a conversation with Anna Ohanyan on Russia’s manipulation and interference in former Soviet states.

And, at 5:00 p.m. (https://meis.gmu.edu/articles/12887?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789) , George Mason University will hold a conversation with Professor Lisa Anderson titled “From Truman to Trump: What Has Happened to U.S. Policy in the Middle East?”

** Video
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Today, the CSIS Energy and National Security Program hosted a panel discussion on the outlook for global energy markets. The discussion covered the geopolitical, economic, and other influences that will impact energy markets in 2019. Watch it here (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q2MwnUwPY78&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789) .

** Podcasts
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Die Welt
North Korea is the Impossible State. Each week join the people who know the most about North Korea—The Center for Strategic and International Studies’ Victor Cha, Mike Green, and Sue Mi Terry—for an insiders discussion with host H. Andrew Schwartz about the United States’ top national security priority.

Listen on SoundCloud (https://soundcloud.com/csis-57169780/the-view-from-europe?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789) , Apple Podcasts (https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-impossible-state/id1389951701?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789) , or Spotify (https://open.spotify.com/episode/6FOpS1AbVjm2j9hEH1GvTl?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789) .

** Smiles
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Missed you all as we closed for a typical three inch snow day yesterday--but that’s our DC “southern efficiency” for you, my street wasn’t plowed until after 8PM last night.  Oh well.  I wonder what Amazon is going to think about DC shuttering over a few snowflakes…

Anyway, it gave me a chance to read all of your great notes about the incomparable Warren Zevon.  Thank you kindly for them.  Zevon is one of those musicians who is irreplaceable.  Fortunately he left us with his timeless music.  I can’t wait for the day when one of my sons says to me, “Dad, do you know the song ‘Werewolves of London? (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N1PFz56XWQI&utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789) ’”
I invite you to email me at [email-masked] (mailto:[email-masked]) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz (https://www.twitter.com/handrewschwartz?utm_source=CSIS+All&utm_campaign=680b8eb13d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_21_05_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f326fc46b6-680b8eb13d-145367789)

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Emma Colbran, Caleb Diamond, and Brad Honigberg.

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