Subject: Re: North Carolina Delegate Strategy
From: Burns Strider <[email-masked]>
To: Tom Hendrickson <[email-masked]>
Cc: Hans Goff <[email-masked]>, David Huynh <[email-masked]>, "[email-masked]" <[email-masked]>, "[email-masked]" <[email-masked]>, Natalie Heinitz <[email-masked]>, "Katie Hendrickson ([email-masked])" <[email-masked]>, "John S. Arrowood ([email-masked])" <[email-masked]>, "Thompson, II, R. Bruce" <[email-masked]>, Richard Sullivan <[email-masked]>, Micah Beasley <[email-masked]>, Erskine <[email-masked]>, "
Date: Fri, 26 Feb 2016 22:46:50 -0500

Thanks so much Tom... and, FYI:
the conservative Trib in Pittsburgh thinks SC & the South is Hillary country (tomorrow's paper):

On Feb 26, 2016, at 10:14 PM, Tom Hendrickson <[email-masked]> wrote:

Hans, Marlon & David,
I wanted to share my suggestions for nailing down a 2 ½ week NC primary strategy and staff allocation framework.  The background to this is the allocation of 70 delegates by Congressional District (and another 37 statewide delegates).  The 70 District delegates will be apportioned between Dem candidates based on the percentage of votes received within each respective Congressional District using the maps for the 113th/114th Congress as attached.  The Statewide delegates will be apportioned based on the statewide totals.
 
As you see at the bottom of this email, the districts breakdown as follows:
8 Delegates:  Districts 1, 4 & 12 
6 Delegates:  District 13
5 Delegates:  Districts 5, 6, 9 & 10
4 Delegates:  Districts 2, 3, 7, 8 & 11 
 
This memo is predicated on very favorable outcome in SC, a belief that our polling will point to an increasingly favorable outcome in the March states prior to March 15th, and recognizes that our strategy will be impacted  by the overall sentiment of the voters as we approach the 15th.  That sentiment has been moving in Hillary’s favor, so let’s keep it that way!!
 
Within that framework, I think that Bernie will likely outperform his average around Asheville (10th), Boone (5th) and Chapel Hill (4th) and the university communities.  We will want to push our performance in the 1st, 4th &12th due to the extra delegates (24) and need to watch our performance in the 10th & 5th. 
 
We should be good in the 4th, but we have a lot of universities here, so we need to watch our canvass data for any warning signs.  We also need to watch our canvass data with white voters in suburban communities around Charlotte (Primarily 9th, secondarily the 8th & 10th) and Raleigh (4th, 2nd and 13th) to see if Bernie is gaining any traction there.
 
I would divide and assign some specific staff members to be responsible to organize if needed, harness, monitor and manage our operations with the lay leaders in the following groups:
1.     Teachers/NCAE (Linda Gunter, amongst others)
2.     Unions (Rob Black)
3.     RWCA (Endorsed, but need to GOTV)
4.     Durham Committee(Endorsed, but need to GOTV)
5.     Charlotte BPC (Working on the endorsement, should know Sunday night, 2/28)
6.     Other Caucuses/Committees (Simpkins PAC, Rev Cordis Brown Cmte in G’boro, Eastern NC Civic Group, etc
7.     State Employees (potentially, but problematic.  Hans, let’s discuss offline.  They are backing Dan Blue III’s opponent for State Treasurer)
8.     LGBT Outreach – We are connected at many levels.  Does it need more coordination to generate GOTV help?
9.     Students – Who is leading our college outreach?  TARGETED early voting with them?
10.  Latino/Hispanic Outreach (Loop in Matty Chatterton)
11.  County Party Organizations; Dem Women; YDs; Dem Men – Flood with speakers in the next 2 weeks
12.  Religious leaders, preachers (Loop in Burns Strider, Eric Sapp, Ken Eudy)
13.  Early Voting Process – We need someone living, breathing and eating early voting.  Need to monitor/analyze vote count updates for EV & absentee and manage and be accountable for our early vote GOTV process.  Let’s discuss budget.  It’s where we will win the primary!
 
I will personally reach out to assess and develop a current Cherokee (11th) and Lumbee (8th & some 7th) status & strategy and will circle back to this group.
 
I would like to discuss ideas for the following potential message/press events:
1.     Early voting/message hits with Governors Hunt (education) & Perdue (Seniors/Medicare)
2.     Rural hit that couples new industry with community colleges
3.     Junior Johnson (that’s NASCAR Legend Junior Johnson for those who don’t know!!) event in the central piedmont
4.     Veteran’s event around Fayetteville & Jacksonville tapping our military supporters
5.     Rural/farm; solar energy; agritourism or environmental event (Blue Ridge Parkway infrastructure/conservation easement/Coastal climate change)
6.     Working mom/child/family event around Huntersville
7.     HBCU event at NC Central/ NC A&T/WSSU; surrogate to ECSU & Pembroke
8.     Faith outreach into AA and white churches; Ministers’ endorsement?
 
Staffing:
1.     We are currently have 3 offices:
a.     Raleigh:  HQ and press operations, along with organizers for the Triangle area field operations
b.     Greensboro:  Triad field operations
c.     Charlotte:  Charlotte area field operations
2.     My thoughts for 6 additional field operations are as follows:
a.     Winston Salem:  Focus on the 5th and 12th precincts in Forsyth
                                               i.     Greensboro should then refocus on 12th in Davidson & Guilford and the 6th.
b.     Durham:  Focus on 1st
                                               i.     Raleigh field should then focus on 4th in Wake/Orange/Alamance; 2nd in Wake/eastern Chatham and the 13th.  
c.     Fayetteville:  Focus on 2nd except Wake; 4th in Harnett & Cumberland; 8th Richmond County east; and 7th in Johnston/Sampson/Cumberland/Hoke & Robeson.
d.    Wilmington:  Focus on balance of the 7th and 3rd (unless Greenville picks up part)
e.     Asheville:  Focus on 10th from Cleveland west and all of 11th.
f.      Charlotte:  Refocus on 12th in Mecklenburg through Rowan; 10th in Gaston, Lincoln & Catawba; 8th from Anson/Montgomery west and all of 9th.
g.     Greenville:    Pick up focus on eastern part of 1st and 13th and the 3rd from New Bern north.
Once a plan is approved, we will find locations for the staff to be deployed into the field offices. 
 
I am putting this strategy forward to facilitate a discussion, not to proscribe the only solution.  I would appreciate your thoughts and comments. 
 
The actual delegate allocation is below.

 

 
Thanks for all that you are doing for Hillary!!
 
Best regards,
Tom
 
Tom Hendrickson
Lookout Ventures, Inc.
PO Box 1166
Zebulon, NC  27597
(m)  919-880-1367
www.BennettBunn.com