Subject: Correct The Record Sunday February 1, 2015 Roundup
From: Burns Strider <[email-masked]>
To: CTRFriendsFamily <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 1 Feb 2015 14:47:54 -0500
List-Id: <CTRFriendsFamily.americanbridge.org>

*​**Correct The Record Sunday February 1, 2015 Roundup:*

*Tweets:*

*Correct The Record *@CorrectRecord: .@HillaryClinton
<https://twitter.com/HillaryClinton> said human trafficking is "an affront
to basic human dignity" #HRC365
<https://twitter.com/hashtag/HRC365?src=hash>
http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2010/11/150701.htm …
<http://t.co/TtcFUUaDL9> [2/1/15, 12:01 p.m. EST
<https://twitter.com/CorrectRecord/status/561917177876316160>]

*Correct The Record *@CorrectRecord: .@HillaryClinton
<https://twitter.com/HillaryClinton> focused on improving career &
technical education #HRC365 <https://twitter.com/hashtag/HRC365?src=hash>
https://www.congress.gov/bill/109th-con…
<https://www.congress.gov/bill/109th-congress/senate-bill/250/cosponsors?q=%7B%22search%22%3A%5B%22Carl+D.+Perkins+Career+and+Technical+Education+Improvement+Act+of+2006%22%5D%7D>
 [1/31/15, 4:01 p.m. EST
<https://twitter.com/CorrectRecord/status/561615174985998337>]

*Headlines:*

*The Des Moines Register: “Clinton maintains big lead in new Iowa Poll”
<http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2015/01/31/iowa-poll-hillary-clinton-big-lead/22661331/>*

“The results of the latest Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Iowa Poll
underscore Clinton's dominance a year ahead of Iowa's first-in-the-nation
caucuses and the inability so far of any other potential candidate to crack
her aura of inevitability.”

*Bloomberg Politics: “Walker Surging in Iowa Poll as Bush Struggles”
<https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2015-01-31/walker-surging-in-bloomberg-politics-des-moines-register-iowa-poll-as-bush-struggles>*

[Subtitle:] “Hillary Clinton is running away from the potential Democratic
field.”

*Politico: “Iowa Dems high and dry as Hillary decides”
<http://www.politico.com/story/2015/02/iowa-democrats-hillary-clinton-114791.html?hp=t3_r>*

“A year out from the Iowa caucus, some party members fret that Hillary
Clinton’s dominance in the Democratic field will leave the party high and
dry as the campaign season intensifies.”

*Associated Press: “For Clinton, deciding how to prepare for a low-key
primary”
<http://bigstory.ap.org/article/2b59d50a498c4f1ca8b6f71cacba8374/clinton-deciding-how-prepare-low-key-primary>*

“The challenge ahead for Hillary Rodham Clinton is one faced by few White
House hopefuls: running a primary campaign in which she faces little
competition, if any at all.”

*Pittsburgh Post-Gazette: “David M. Shribman: What isn’t being said about
the 2016 election”
<http://www.post-gazette.com/opinion/david-shribman/2015/02/01/David-M-Shribman-What-isn-t-being-said-about-the-2016-election/stories/201502010066>*

“Indeed, there are two principal unspokens in the run-up to the next
presidential campaign. The first is the quiet Republican hope that maverick
Sen. Elizabeth Warren will challenge former Secretary of State Hillary
Clinton from the left in the Democratic primaries. The second is the
anguish Republican candidates are having in trying to figure out how to
address economic issues.”

*Associated Press: “Where the Democratic Contenders Stand in the 2016 Race”
<http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_DEM_2016_WHERE_THEY_STAND?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT>*

“The leading contender, Clinton is widely expected to announce a campaign
in the coming months”

*CNN: “Walker: 'People want new, fresh leadership'”
<http://edition.cnn.com/2015/02/01/politics/scott-walker-on-2016-isis-immigration/>*

“’And if we're going to take on a name from the past, which is likely to be
former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, I think for the party we need a
name from the future,’ Walker said.”

*The Washington Post: “O’Malley’s PAC reports just over $900,000 in the
bank as he eyes a White House bid.”
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/md-politics/omalleys-pac-reports-just-over-900000-in-the-bank-as-he-eyes-a-white-house-bid/2015/01/31/34417d40-a9ab-11e4-a06b-9df2002b86a0_story.html>*

“Former Maryland governor Martin O’Malley’s political action committee
finished last year with just over $900,000 in the bank, according to
campaign finance reports released Saturday.”

*Articles:*

*The Des Moines Register: “Clinton maintains big lead in new Iowa Poll”
<http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2015/01/31/iowa-poll-hillary-clinton-big-lead/22661331/>*

By Jason Noble

January 31, 2015 5:09 p.m. CST

Hillary Clinton continues to lead the potential field of Democratic
presidential candidates in Iowa, capturing a wide majority of support and
enjoying sky-high approval ratings among likely caucusgoers.

The results of the latest Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Iowa Poll
underscore Clinton's dominance a year ahead of Iowa's first-in-the-nation
caucuses and the inability so far of any other potential candidate to crack
her aura of inevitability.

Clinton, the former U.S. secretary of state and a fixture in national
Democratic politics for more than 20 years, is the first choice for 56
percent of poll respondents. That's 40 points ahead of the next potential
contender, liberal populist U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts,
who is the top choice for 16 percent.

Whoever ultimately gets into the race will look to make themselves the most
credible choice alongside Clinton, said Iowa-based Democratic strategist
Jeff Link.

"You want to make this a two-person race, and you want to be the
alternative to the front-runner," Link said. "There's a chance that that
could happen, and if it does, that'll be when things will become more
interesting."

Clinton is viewed favorably by 84 percent of likely caucusgoers, and just 1
percent aren't sure of their feelings about her. Among potential
candidates, only Vice President Joe Biden enjoys popularity anywhere near
that, at 78 percent.

For former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley, independent U.S. Sen. Bernie
Sanders and former U.S. Sen. Jim Webb, a majority of respondents don't know
enough about them even to form an opinion.

Poll respondent Nora Walker, a 20-year-old Iowa State University student,
said she's been a fan of Clinton going back to 2008 and wants to see a
woman elected president.

"Not only do I think it's time for a woman to be in office, I think she's
the right woman for the job," Walker said of Clinton.

But Walker also said she's unfamiliar with the rest of the potential field,
and wasn't entirely ruling out support for another candidate.

The results are not substantially different from an Iowa Poll conducted
last October, in which 53 percent of respondents called Clinton their first
choice, while the rest of the field remained at or below 10 percent.

Only Warren has shown any noticeable movement since then, rising from 10
percent to 16 percent. Warren came to Iowa in late October to campaign for
unsuccessful U.S. Senate candidate Bruce Braley, drawing hundreds of people
to events in Iowa City and Des Moines.

More Iowans have become aware of Warren, and that higher visibility has
translated to higher popularity — a positive development for any candidate,
said J. Ann Selzer, who conducts the Iowa Poll for the Register and
Bloomberg Politics.

"This poll reveals Warren as more competitive against the front-runner than
she was a few months ago," Selzer said.

The poll of 401 likely Democratic caucusgoers was conducted Jan. 26-29. The
margin of error is plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

Still, support for Clinton is wide and deep.

On a question asking what type of Democrat would be best suited to lead the
country in 2017, 57 percent think it would be a "mainstream establishment
candidate" — an apt description of Clinton — while 34 percent say they
prefer an "anti-establishment candidate without ties to Washington or Wall
Street."

Even among respondents favoring an anti-establishment candidate, Clinton is
still the top choice, leading Warren by almost 20 percentage points.

David Vawter, 50, of Johnston is among the respondents favoring an
"anti-establishment" candidate and backing Clinton.

While Clinton has been around long enough to understand how the political
game is played, he said, he sees her as standing apart from the extreme
partisanship that defines Washington, D.C. It also helps that she's a
woman, he said.

"She's part of the old boys club, but she's not a boy, which helps her be
anti-establishment," he said. "We need someone who can think outside the
box, but understands the box."

One issue trailing both Clinton and likely Republican candidate Jeb Bush is
the dynastic implications for their candidacies: Clinton is married to
former President Bill Clinton, while Bush's brother and father have served
as president.

The Iowa Poll suggests that likely caucus attendees see family connections
as far more significant for Bush than Clinton.

While 50 percent of likely Republican caucusgoers say the strength of
Bush's potential candidacy is based more on his "family connections to
politics," just 19 percent of likely Democratic caucus attendees say the
same of Clinton.

Forty percent say Clinton's strength lies in her "policies and vision for
the country" and another 36 percent say it's her "unique qualities and
achievements."

But poll respondent Sharon Pryor, a retired psychologist from Iowa City,
says she's troubled by the notion of American political dynasties. It's
part of the reason Warren and Sanders are her top choices.

"It's a little disgusting that she's being anointed, that we have these
dynastic families, the Bushes and the Clintons," Pryor said. "That's
another reason for either a Sanders or a Warren (candidacy)."

Much remains unknown about the Democratic field — including whether or when
Clinton will formally announce her candidacy. News reports last week
suggested the weak Democratic competition might allow her to delay a formal
candidacy announcement until July.

Warren has downplayed her interest in pursuing a candidacy. Biden, Sanders
and O'Malley have made trips to Iowa in recent months but have avoided
committing to a run. Sanders has scheduled another visit Feb. 19-21, packed
with nine events.

How do likely Democratic caucusgoers view the Republican field? Asked which
of the Republicans would make the best leader should the GOP take the White
House, Democrats not surprisingly choose more moderate, establishment
Republicans. Including a first or second choice, 20 percent say New Jersey
Gov. Chris Christie; 19 percent, Bush; and 15 percent, Mitt Romney. No one
else scores in double digits.

A sizable chunk of likely Republican caucusgoers in turn view that trio as
too moderate: Christie, 46 percent, and Romney and Bush, 37 percent each.

*Bloomberg Politics: “Walker Surging in Iowa Poll as Bush Struggles”
<https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2015-01-31/walker-surging-in-bloomberg-politics-des-moines-register-iowa-poll-as-bush-struggles>*

By John McCormick and Michael C. Bender

January 31, 2015 6:00 PM EST

[Subtitle:] “Hillary Clinton is running away from the potential Democratic
field.”

Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker is surging, former Florida Governor Jeb
Bush is an also-ran and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is
dominating in a new poll of Iowans likely to vote in the nation's first
presidential nominating contest.

The Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register Iowa Poll, taken Monday through
Thursday, shows Walker leading a wide-open Republican race with 15 percent,
up from just 4 percent in the same poll in October. Senator Rand Paul of
Kentucky was at 14 percent and former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, who
won the Iowa caucuses in 2008, stood at 10 percent.

Bush trailed with 8 percent and increasingly is viewed negatively by likely
Republican caucus-goers. New Jersey Governor Chris Christie is in even
worse shape, with support from just 4 percent. More troubling for Christie:
He's viewed unfavorably by 54 percent, among the highest negative ratings
in the potential field. At 9 percent, retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson pulls
more support than either Bush or Christie.

[Poll of Republic Favorites: Which one of the following Republican
candidates would be your first choice for president? And who would your
second choice be?]

On the Democratic side, the race among potential candidates isn't
competitive. Clinton was the first choice of 56 percent. Senator Elizabeth
Warren of Massachusetts, who has repeatedly said she isn't running, stands
second at 16 percent. Vice President Joe Biden had only about half as much
support as Warren, with 9 percent.

The poll was taken before Mitt Romney's Friday announcement that he
wouldn't make a third White House bid. He received the backing of 13
percent of likely Republican caucus participants, ranking third. When his
supporters are re-allocated to their second choice, Walker's backing grows
to 16 percent, followed by 15 percent for Paul, 13 percent for Huckabee,
and 10 percent for Carson. Removing Romney from his third-place spot had no
effect on the ranking order of the other top potential candidates and
offered the biggest boost to Huckabee. Bush's overall number inched up just
one point, to 9 percent.

Walker's bounce came on the strength of his speech last weekend at the Iowa
Freedom Summit, a gathering of more than 1,200 social conservatives in Des
Moines. The two-term governor, often criticized as a dull speaker,
captivated the crowd with a vivid account of threats to his family four
years ago during his fight with organized labor, and his efforts to push
tax cuts and anti-abortion policies.

The survey was taken just as Walker was basking in the positive coverage of
that speech, and as he announced the formation of a committee to help him
explore a potential presidential bid. Whether he can continue to grow in
popularity on the national stage and as he receives more scrutiny remains
unknown.

The speech sold poll participant Kirk Lundberg, who lives in Hudson, Iowa.
The 58-year-old construction project manager said he became a Walker fan
after hearing last weekend's address on the radio.

“I was impressed,” Lundberg said. “He's somebody that is true to his word
and will stand by his convictions. It's going to take someone who is a
strong conservative to win.”

Walker's favorability rating has jumped to 60 percent, up 11 percentage
points since the October Iowa Poll of likely caucus participants. His
proximity to Iowa may also be boosting him; his biggest poll lead came from
the state's 1st Congressional District, which borders Wisconsin.

“A majority think he’s got the right balance between conservative and
moderate,” said J. Ann Selzer, president of West Des Moines-based Selzer &
Co., which conducted the poll. “Caucus-goers deciding on the basis of a
candidate's values put him in second place, and he's in first place with
those who say electability is more important.”

Rounding out the rest of the potential Republican field, Senator Ted Cruz
of Texas scored 5 percent, 2012 Iowa caucuses winner Rick Santorum was at 4
percent, Senator Marco Rubio of Florida and former Texas Governor Rick
Perry were at 3 percent, Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal was at 2 percent,
and businesswoman Carly Fiorina, Ohio Governor John Kasich, and businessman
Donald Trump were all at 1 percent. Indiana Governor Mike Pence was not the
first or second choice of any respondent.

Iowans are still getting to know Walker, who pledged last weekend to return
to their state “many more times in the future.” More than a quarter of
likely Republican caucus participants say they don't know enough about him
to form an opinion.

“I like what he did to Wisconsin, and I think he'd be great at getting rid
of a bunch of stuff that the government is doing to us,” said Kerri Vaughn,
a carpenter from western Iowa who has followed Walker's career mostly on
Fox News. “He seems like he means what he says, and does what he says and
is an honorable man.”

The poll, which has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage
points for both Democratic and Republican caucus-goers, shows there's
plenty of potential uncertainty in Iowa. Six in 10 likely Republican voters
say a candidate's values are more important than electability.

The results suggest Bush, the son and brother of former presidents, faces a
challenge in the heartland, even if he's an East Coast Republican
establishment's darling. His favorability rating in the poll was 46
percent, not much higher than the 43 percent who view him unfavorably.

“I'm not excited about him,” said poll participant William Kayser, 86, a
property appraiser in Decorah, Iowa. “The Bushes have been so decimated in
the media that he doesn't have a chance.”

So far, Bush has avoided Iowa, a state that has a history of rewarding
candidates who are more socially conservative. He hasn't been to the state
since October 2012 and that could be hurting his numbers there.

In recent weeks, Bush has called Iowa Governor Terry Branstad and other
state party leaders, an indication he isn't likely to bypass the state
should he run. On Thursday, he also signed on Iowa native David Kochel,
Romney's top 2012 strategist in the state, to run his national
campaign-in-waiting.

Bush's brother, George W. Bush, won Iowa's caucuses in 2000, propelling him
toward the nomination and White House. His father, George H.W. Bush, took
first place in the caucuses in 1980 before losing the nomination race to
Ronald Reagan. As vice president, George H.W. Bush took third place in the
1988 caucuses and won the presidency.

Half of Republican poll participants say Bush's family connections are his
greatest potential strength, while 19 percent cite unique qualities and
achievements and another 19 percent list his policies and vision for the
country.

“I like how he handled things in Florida. I know a lot of conservatives
don't look at him as a conservative, but I believe he is,” said Mark
Shepherd, 44, a sheriff's deputy in Dallas County, west of Des Moines. “The
Bush name seems to haunt him, but I think the best one is yet to come.”

At 62 percent, Perry scores the highest for “about right” on ideology,
although that's hasn't helped his overall standing. Christie is viewed as
“too moderate” by 46 percent, while 37 percent say that of Bush.

Paul, who like Walker also improved his standing since October, is the top
candidate among those Republicans seeking an “anti-establishment”
candidate, followed closely by Walker. Among those who say values are more
important than electability, Paul also comes out on top.

“I don't think [Paul] is a typical Washington, look-at-me politician,” said
Kristen Schlapkohl, 32, an office manager at a mechanic's shop in eastern
Iowa. “He's a little different from the rest of the establishment and seems
to look at things in a different way.”

Schlapkohl said she also likes that Paul doesn't place as much emphasis on
social issues. “As a conservative, I worry about the safety of our country
from terrorism and fiscal irresponsibility and the expansion of different
welfare programs and not so much about gay marriage or arresting every
single person who has an ounce of marijuana,” she said.

[Poll of Democratic Favorites: Which one of the following Democratic
candidates would be your first choice for president? And who would your
second choice be?]

The survey questioned 401 likely Democratic caucus-goers and 402 likely
Republican participants. A narrow majority of the Republicans—51
percent—say the next president should be an anti-establishment candidate
without many ties to Washington or Wall Street who could challenge
conventional thinking. Among Democrats, 57 percent prefer someone who would
offer a “mainstream establishment candidate with executive experience who
understands business.”

Likely Democratic caucus-goers say Clinton would be a formidable candidate:
More than half of Democrats say they want a presidential candidate with
experience on issues (compared to just 27 percent of Republicans). She's
viewed favorably by 84 percent of likely caucus participants, up 8
percentage points since October.

Few see any problem with the fact that Clinton came in third in the state's
2008 nominating contest or that, as the wife of a former president, people
may have grown tired of her. More than half say her ties to big banks on
Wall Street aren't an issue.

After Clinton, Warren, and Biden, the level of support for other potential
Democratic candidates falls off. Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont receives
5 percent, former Senator Jim Webb of Virginia gets 3 percent, and former
Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley receives just 1 percent.

*Politico: “Iowa Dems high and dry as Hillary decides”
<http://www.politico.com/story/2015/02/iowa-democrats-hillary-clinton-114791.html?hp=t3_r>*

By Ben Schreckinger

2/1/15 8:02 AM EST

Democrats are beginning to worry that Hillary Clinton is creating a drought
in Iowa.

A year out from the Iowa caucus, some party members fret that Hillary
Clinton’s dominance in the Democratic field will leave the party high and
dry as the campaign season intensifies. A lack of competition within the
party may hurt fundraising and makes it hard to develop the new blood that
often grows out of highly competitive races, some party activists say.

The prospect of a Clinton victory stokes even deeper fears. “My gut feeling
as a Democratic activist is that a president Hillary Clinton will tell the
Democratic Party, ‘No caucuses, primaries only,’” said John Deeth, an
activist and organizer in Iowa City. “If Hillary Clinton is elected
president, this will be the last Iowa Caucus.”

The Democratic presidential field is notably smaller and quieter than the
Republican side, where a robust field of candidates is jockeying for
position after Friday’s surprise withdrawal of poll frontrunner Mitt Romney.

In Iowa, the annual parade of appearances by big-name presidential
candidates normally has ripple effects for fundraising and party-building
activities among local organizations.

But this year, said State Sen. Jeff Danielson, “It’s an absolute ghost
town, and I’m deeply concerned about it. All of that activity builds the
party base. It allows down-ballot candidates like me to host events in the
district.”

Hillary Clinton has complicated matters by considering delaying a formal
announcement until July, and her allies are contemplating the possibility
that she may not even debate in the primaries, as POLITICO Playbook first
reported Thursday.

That news has added to anxiety among the grassroots, where there is an
impression that “Clinton has a chip on her shoulder about Iowa,” after
finishing a disappointing third in the 2008 caucus, as Deeth put it.“The
Clinton campaign blew it. They didn’t have a strategy for caucus states and
the Obama campaign did,” he said. After losing that caucus, Clinton didn’t
set foot in the state again until this past September.

“I’m sensing a lot of concern among the Democratic activists here that
there’s not going to be the kind of activity that we saw in 2007 or 2003,”
said Deeth.

The ancillary benefits of a heated Iowa caucus play out at events like the
Johnson County Democrats’ largest fundraiser, the annual fall barbecue. In
2003, the barbecue drew John Kerry, Howard Dean and non-candidate Ted
Kennedy. In 2007, it drew five presidential candidates and the actor Forest
Whittaker, who came as a surrogate for then-Sen. Barack Obama.

Deeth said he doesn’t believe this year’s barbecue will compare. “Nobody
expects that Hillary Clinton plans to do those kinds of activities,” he
said.

A lively contest also draws new blood and fresh energy into the Democratic
fold.

“When it’s a highly competitive caucus, we often have folks show up who
aren’t only Democrats but independents and some Republicans who then
register as Democrats,” said Polk County Democratic Chair Tom Henderson.
“They’re more likely to stay with our party and vote with our party.”

“It does seem to be slower than I’d like to expect,” he said.

It’s not only new voters, but new activists who surface in a competitive
caucus, and often remain involved even if their candidate loses the
nomination. “Keeping the energy going in a place like Iowa City,” the most
liberal part of the state, “is really, really important on a statewide
basis,” said Deeth.

“It is definitely quieter than we’ve seen the last couple [cycles] for
sure,” said Norm Sterzenbach, a former executive director of the state
Democratic party. “We could really use the attention and the organizing at
this stage because of where we have been over the last election cycle,” in
which Republican Joni Ernst won the Senate seat left open by Democrat Tom
Harkin’s retirement, and Democrats also lost the House seat vacated by
Ernst’s opponent, Bruce Braley.

The disappointing showing may have been exacerbated by the small Democratic
field. Potential presidential candidates often send resources to Iowa in
the midterms to win goodwill in the state ahead of the presidential caucus.
Last year, former Maryland Gov. O’Malley was the only potential Democratic
candidate to lend staffers to Hawkeye State Democrats.

Sterzenbach’s not hitting the panic button yet, though. “There’s still
plenty of time,” he said.

Many other Democrats agreed that it’s too early for grave concern, among
them new state chair Andy McGuire. “I think we will have a robust caucus,”
she said . “I just think we’ll be a little bit later than the Republicans
and a little bit shorter.”

In the meantime, Iowa Democrats aren’t sitting back and praying for it to
start raining presidential campaigns. Instead, they’re taking organizing
into their own hands. McGuire was elected party chair earlier this month on
a platform that included more proactive party-building across the state,
and she said those efforts are already underway.

Jack Hatch, the Democratic candidate for governor in 2014, said Democrats
had recognized the void and that other efforts were afoot to fill it
independent of the official party apparatus.

“It is a skeleton of what it should be,” he said. “We know we’ve got a lot
of work to do, but the activities of Democrats throughout the state are
organizing very quickly.” He did not reveal the details of those plans,
though he said they were likely to take shape in a matter of weeks.

But among the grass roots, there are signs that absent the excitement of a
spirited presidential contest, party-building efforts could lead to
alienation rather than organization.

Pat Sass, chair of the Blackhawk County Democrats, pointed to
disappointment with a ticketed appearance by Obama earlier this month in
Cedar Falls that was limited to 200 attendees.

“Those kinds of things don’t sit right,” she said, “and then they get
emails saying, ‘Send money.’”

*Associated Press: “For Clinton, deciding how to prepare for a low-key
primary”
<http://bigstory.ap.org/article/2b59d50a498c4f1ca8b6f71cacba8374/clinton-deciding-how-prepare-low-key-primary>*

By Ken Thomas

February 1, 2015 9:00 AM

WASHINGTON (AP) - The challenge ahead for Hillary Rodham Clinton is one
faced by few White House hopefuls: running a primary campaign in which she
faces little competition, if any at all.

Still not officially a candidate, the former New York senator, secretary of
state and first lady sits far atop early polls against a small field of
potential rivals for the Democratic nomination. None of them seems to be in
any hurry to move into the race.

Few Democrats see an insurgent candidate in the mold of Barack Obama on the
horizon. That raises the potential of a pedestrian Democratic primary
season with few televised debates and little of the drama expected from a
crowded and likely combative race on the Republican side.

"No one wants a complete coronation, but it's hard to see who a credible
challenger will be," said Steve Westly, a California-based fundraiser for
Obama's campaigns who is supporting Clinton.

Clinton has been meeting in New York with a group of advisers that includes
longtime loyalists and veterans of Obama's races. But the work of campaign
planning involves trying to figure out when to get into the race, how to
avoid giving off a sense of inevitability and how to generate enthusiasm
among the party's base for the general election without the benefit of a
spirited fight for the nomination.

"All indications are that she's casting a wide net, talking to smart
people, and being methodical about thinking through her next steps," said
Donna Brazile, a Democratic strategist and Clinton ally. "And having run a
presidential campaign, this is how you go about making this decision and
next steps."

The first step? Deciding when to get into the race.

Clinton's timeline for announcing her candidacy remains a subject of debate
inside her team, according to Democrats familiar with the discussions.

Some advisers are pushing the possibility of a springtime announcement.
Others suggest she could wait until the summer, giving her team more time
to get ready.

Some insiders note that her husband, Bill Clinton, did not launch his first
presidential campaign until October 1991, a few months before the first
primaries of the 1992 race.

In the already competitive Republican field, the aggressive moves of former
Florida Gov. Jeb Bush appear to have chased Mitt Romney into and out of the
race.

But the potential Democratic competition is not putting any pressure on
Clinton to move quickly.

Vice President Joe Biden has said he will not make a decision until the
spring or the summer. Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, a liberal
favorite, insists she's not running.

Others, such as ex-Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley, former Virginia Sen. Jim
Webb and independent Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders are relatively unknown
nationally and are not expected to decide until later in the spring.

Clinton appears in no rush. She has a limited number of public appearances
in the coming months, leaving outside groups to fill the void.

Ready for Hillary, a pro-Clinton super political action committee, has a
number of low-dollar fundraisers on the calendar, including an event in New
York next month with former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean.

"The question is what advantage is the Clinton campaign giving up by not
being active in Iowa as a candidate today? And I can't think of any," said
Jerry Crawford, a Des Moines lawyer who served as Clinton's Midwest
co-chairman in 2008.

Clinton has suggested one - the potential for voters to see her as entitled
to the nomination. She was hurt by sky-high expectations in her last
campaign and finished a disappointing third in Iowa's caucuses, sparking
Obama's ascent.

"If I were to decide to pursue it, I would be working as hard as any
underdog or any newcomer because I don't want to take anything for granted
if I decide to do it," Clinton said in a June interview.

Clinton's main obstacles during a quiet primary campaign could come from
Republicans and GOP-leaning outside groups, which already are trying to
discredit her record at the State Department and tie her to Obama's
policies.

Several Republicans took swipes at Clinton at an Iowa forum last weekend,
as did Romney in a speech in Mississippi this past week.

"Hillary Clinton clearly feels she's entitled to the presidency and is
taking the race for granted like she did in 2008," said Republican National
Committee chairman Reince Priebus, reflecting the GOP's intense focus on
Clinton.

Such GOP criticism could rile her supporters. But a low-key primary could
limit her campaign's ability to test its organizational strength and its
opportunities to seize on important moments - a primary night, debate,
major address - that often fuel online fundraising and list-building.

During the last contested Democratic campaign, the party's first
presidential debate was held in South Carolina in April 2007 and the field
went on to take part in more than two dozen such events. With no announced
candidates, a springtime debate already appears unlikely.

Still, there are benefits to the lack of a challenge.

Even with Republicans as the main foil, a relatively uncontested primary
would give Clinton a clear path to raise millions of dollars and build a
campaign organization, a benefit normally bestowed to an incumbent
president, and perhaps keep her above the political fray.

"I'm really excited for these next two years," said Neera Tanden, a former
Clinton policy adviser who spoke at a Ready for Hillary event in Washington
last week. "You know with any Clinton adventure, it's a roller coaster. It
will be very exciting. And she's really going to need all of us to step up."

*Pittsburgh Post-Gazette: “David M. Shribman: What isn’t being said about
the 2016 election”
<http://www.post-gazette.com/opinion/david-shribman/2015/02/01/David-M-Shribman-What-isn-t-being-said-about-the-2016-election/stories/201502010066>*

By: David M. Shribman

February 1, 2015 12:00 AM

[Subtitle:] Republicans’ biggest challenge will be addressing inequality,
even as they root for Elizabeth Warren

There's a lot being spoken about the 2016 presidential election. What isn't
being said is far more interesting.

Indeed, there are two principal unspokens in the run-up to the next
presidential campaign. The first is the quiet Republican hope that maverick
Sen. Elizabeth Warren will challenge former Secretary of State Hillary
Clinton from the left in the Democratic primaries. The second is the
anguish Republican candidates are having in trying to figure out how to
address economic issues.

At the heart of both of these unspokens is the increasingly apparent wealth
gap. You don't have to read Thomas Piketty's "Capital in the 21st Century"
- many more people have quoted or bought the groundbreaking book than have
actually read it - to acknowledge that the wealth gap is the economic issue
of the decade. A report issued last Sunday by Emmanuel Saez, the University
of California, Berkeley, economist, affirmed that the top 1 percent of
Americans captured 91 percent of the growth in incomes in the first three
years of the recovery, a figure ameliorated in 2012 and 2013 by higher top
tax rates.

This wealth gap undermines the animating mythology of American life
(captured in one name: Horatio Alger). It questions the principal shorthand
of the national ethos (captured in one alluring phrase: the American
Dream). It challenges both the usual totems of the George W. Bush
Republicans (the magic of free markets) and the usual prescriptions of the
Barack Obama Democrats (the conviction that an activist government can
soften the harsh edges of capitalism).

The Republicans want a Warren challenge to Mrs. Clinton in part for the
sport of it. They so dislike the onetime New York senator that they relish
anything that exposes her vulnerabilities, or discovers new ones,
especially if the effort pins on her the talisman ("toady of Wall Street"')
they have been trying to lose themselves since they nominated Wendell
Willkie for president in 1940. In truth, Mrs. Clinton and her husband, the
42nd president, cozied up to Wall Street for reasons Willie Sutton wasn't
alone in understanding. That's where the money is.

The chances of Ms. Warren entering the presidential campaign remain small,
and not for the usual reasons (she's relatively unknown and is only a
freshman senator - a description that also fits Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio and
Rand Paul, and it was no impediment to Mr. Obama). She's reluctant to
challenge another female who is, by every poll, a prohibitive favorite for
the nomination. At the moment, Mrs. Clinton's support among Democrats is
seven times as great as that of the Massachusetts senator, according to the
latest CNN Poll.

The Republicans began as a party of rights but ended up being a party of
economic opportunity - precisely the opposite 20th-century passage of the
Democrats - and so now the wealth gap is a peculiarly perplexing challenge
for them. In the waning years of the Great Society, Ronald Reagan began
questioning the Democrats' prescriptions for economic opportunity, an
effort that through four presidential campaigns (1968, 1976, 1980 and 1984)
he developed into a new ethos with its own catch-phrase ("opportunity
society").

So deep did that catch-phrase penetrate that, nearly a year before the 2012
election, former Gov. Mitt Romney of Massachusetts, who would eventually
win the GOP presidential nomination, framed his campaign as a choice
between the "opportunity society" of the Republicans and the "entitlement
society" of the Democrats.

Democrats for a few tantalizing weeks may have luxuriated in portraying Mr.
Romney, who until Friday morning considered a 2016 presidential campaign,
as a Harvey Comics figure (Richie Rich redux) but he actually has been
supporting an increase in the minimum wage for eight months. He did so with
the pointed aside that, as he put it, "I part company with many of the
conservatives in my party on the issue."

Now, many of those same conservatives are struggling to find ways to
address the wealth gap. The new Republicans - and not only those affiliated
with the Tea Party insurgents - are loathe to associate themselves with
figures of great wealth like Mr. Romney, whose possible appearance in the
2016 race was for them a disturbing symbol of the resilience of the East
Coast establishment that GOP rebels have remonstrated against since the
Barry Goldwater campaign of 1964.

But just as Democrats have adopted many of the characteristics of the
Republicans they once reviled - this began as early as 1982, when the party
cozied up to big-money interests with fresh but awkward ardor - the
Republicans are adopting many of the characteristics of the Democrats.
Since 1988 and the presidential candidacy of Rep. Jack F. Kemp of New York,
Republicans have become increasingly comfortable with populist rhetoric.

Before he died in 2009, Mr. Kemp, who was the Republicans'
vice-presidential nominee in 1996, teamed up with an unlikely ally, former
Senate Majority Leader George Mitchell of Maine, a Democrat and liberal.
"The gap between rich and poor has grown worrisome to many of us," they
wrote, adding: "A cherished piece of the American Dream - the notion that
individuals have the opportunity to rise beyond their parent's economic
status - is not standing up to scrutiny."

Mr. Kemp was the mentor to Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, who followed him 16
years later as the GOP vice presidential nominee, on the Romney ticket. Mr.
Ryan, who has said he would not run for president in 2016, moved last month
from the chairmanship of the House Budget Committee to the head of the
House Ways and Means Committee. In those committee chambers, as on the
campaign trail in Iowa and New Hampshire, the new Republican response to
the wealth gap will be shaped.

It may be the most important policy debate either party will have in the
two years leading to the election. The Democratic debate will be a
discussion around Mrs. Clinton's Wall Street ties and will produce some
heat but no light, much emotion but little thoughtful analysis. The
Republican debate will be far more difficult, far more intellectual and far
more nuanced.

This is where the enduring significance of the Republican struggle will
lie. It will be a horse race, to be sure. Not only is the entire field
open, the policy debate is wide open, too. The Republicans will talk of an
opportunity society, but their debate will be an opportunity for our
society.

*Associated Press: “Where the Democratic Contenders Stand in the 2016 Race”
<http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_DEM_2016_WHERE_THEY_STAND?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT>*

By Ken Thomas

2/1/15 7:27 AM EST

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Unlike the active jockeying among Republicans thinking
about running for president, there is little public action among the
Democratic considering a White House bid. Here's a look at where they stand.

---

HILLARY RODHAM CLINTON

The leading contender, Clinton is widely expected to announce a campaign in
the coming months. She has maintained a low profile since mid-December. She
has been meeting with advisers to plan for a potential campaign and has
limited the number of upcoming public appearances; her next scheduled
address is this month in California.

---

JOE BIDEN

The vice president has said he will make a decision later in the spring or
summer, but has taken few steps to build the foundation of a campaign
structure.

---

JIM WEBB

The former Virginia senator and Navy secretary announced an exploratory
committee last year, but has done little publicly in recent weeks as he
recovers from knee replacement surgery. He expects to make a decision in
the spring.

---

MARTIN O'MALLEY

The former Maryland governor has said he will need "a couple of months" to
get his family settled after a move to a new home in Baltimore before
deciding on a bid. O'Malley signed on with a speaking firm after leaving
the governor's office and will be as a visiting professor at Johns Hopkins
University. He plans to return to the early voting states of South Carolina
in late February and New Hampshire in mid-March.

---

BERNIE SANDERS

The independent senator from Vermont is ramping up his activities as he
decides whether to pursue a campaign. Sanders was returning to New
Hampshire this weekend and has a four-day trip to Iowa planned for this
month.

---

ELIZABETH WARREN

The Massachusetts senator remains the subject of a draft movement by
liberal activists but has repeatedly declined interest in running for
president. She remains an influential voice within the Democratic party and
has made clear she hopes to influence the 2016 debate, arguing that the
economic benefits from the recovery have helped Wall Street instead of
boosting wages for middle-class families.

*CNN: “Walker: 'People want new, fresh leadership'”
<http://edition.cnn.com/2015/02/01/politics/scott-walker-on-2016-isis-immigration/>*

Washington (CNN)Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker -- the Republican 2016
presidential candidate who could benefit most from Mitt Romney's decision
not to run again -- says he agrees with Romney's assessment that it's time
for new blood atop the GOP.

"People want new, fresh leadership with big, bold ideas, and the courage to
act on it," Walker said on ABC's "This Week," as he also offered praise for
a potential 2016 opponent, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio.

READ: Obama says he's proud of saving the economy

"And if we're going to take on a name from the past, which is likely to be
former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, I think for the party we need a
name from the future," Walker said.

His comments came as a new Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics poll
showed Walker, with 15% support, at the head of a tightly packed Republican
field in the key early caucuse state of Iowa.

Walker also talked foreign policy, saying he'd keep the door open to
putting U.S. troops on the ground in Syria to combat ISIS.

"I wouldn't rule anything out," he said. "I think when you have the lives
of Americans at stake and our freedom loving allies anywhere in the world,
we have to be prepared to do things that don't allow those measures, those
attacks, those abuses to come to our shores."

He deflected a question about his specific approach to immigration, saying
he'd lay that out in more detail if he became a presidential candidate. But
in a veiled shot at President Barack Obama's move to forestall some
deportations, he said he's "not for amnesty."

"We need to enforce the laws in the United States, and we need to find a
way for people to have a legitimate legal immigration system in this
country, and that does not mean amnesty," Walker said.

*The Washington Post: “O’Malley’s PAC reports just over $900,000 in the
bank as he eyes a White House bid.”
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/md-politics/omalleys-pac-reports-just-over-900000-in-the-bank-as-he-eyes-a-white-house-bid/2015/01/31/34417d40-a9ab-11e4-a06b-9df2002b86a0_story.html>*

By John Wagner

January 31 at 7:55 PM

Former Maryland governor Martin O’Malley’s political action committee
finished last year with just over $900,000 in the bank, according to
campaign finance reports released Saturday.

The money cannot be spent on a 2016 presidential bid, but O’Malley (D) can
use the funds to maintain his political operation for the first few months
of the year as he ponders whether to pursue the Democratic nomination.

O’Malley reported raising only a modest amount — $191,625 into a pair of
accounts — during the period covered by the report, Nov. 25 through Dec. 31.

As of Dec. 31, O’Malley’s PAC, known as O’ Say Can You See, had $904,830 in
the bank.

O’Malley, who left office in Maryland on Jan. 21, has said he will likely
announce his decision about a presidential run by this spring. A bid would
likely pit him against Hillary Rodham Clinton for the Democratic nomination.

O’Malley confirmed this week that he plans to make appearances in South
Carolina and New Hampshire, both early presidential nominating states, in
coming weeks.

*Calendar:*

*Sec. Clinton's upcoming appearances as reported online. Not an official
schedule.*

·  February 24 – Santa Clara, CA: Sec. Clinton to Keynote Address at
Inaugural Watermark Conference for Women (PR Newswire
<http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/hillary-rodham-clinton-to-deliver-keynote-address-at-inaugural-watermark-conference-for-women-283200361.html>
)

·  March 4 – New York, NY: Sec. Clinton to fundraise for the Clinton
Foundation (WSJ
<http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2015/01/15/carole-king-hillary-clinton-live-top-tickets-100000/>
)

·  March 19 – Atlantic City, NJ: Sec. Clinton keynotes American Camp
Association conference (PR Newswire <http://www.sys-con.com/node/3254649>)

·  March 23 – Washington, DC: Sec. Clinton to keynote award ceremony for
the Toner Prize for Excellence in Political Reporting (Syracuse
<http://newhouse.syr.edu/news-events/news/former-secretary-state-hillary-rodham-clinton-deliver-keynote-newhouse-school-s>
)